Pre-tourney Rankings
South Dakota St.
Summit League
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.8#95
Expected Predictive Rating+7.1#83
Pace71.1#146
Improvement-3.2#299

Offense
Total Offense+3.6#90
First Shot+3.3#85
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#151
Layup/Dunks-0.7#211
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#136
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#108
Freethrows+1.6#72
Improvement-1.3#244

Defense
Total Defense+2.2#113
First Shot+1.8#117
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#125
Layups/Dunks+2.4#77
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#272
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#66
Freethrows-1.8#288
Improvement-1.9#269
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round16.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen4.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.5% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 13 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 16, 2015 146   Weber St. W 85-68 77%     1 - 0 +15.1 +10.9 +3.9
  Nov 19, 2015 121   @ Illinois St. W 83-67 50%     2 - 0 +21.9 +6.4 +13.7
  Nov 21, 2015 113   @ TCU W 76-67 48%     3 - 0 +15.4 -0.8 +15.0
  Nov 24, 2015 284   Houston Baptist W 92-68 90%     4 - 0 +16.1 +13.8 +2.4
  Nov 25, 2015 281   Cleveland St. W 77-66 89%     5 - 0 +3.1 +9.8 -6.1
  Nov 28, 2015 253   @ UMKC L 57-64 79%     5 - 1 -9.6 -12.6 +2.4
  Dec 08, 2015 176   @ Minnesota W 84-70 64%     6 - 1 +16.1 +13.2 +2.8
  Dec 13, 2015 104   UC Santa Barbara W 86-68 64%     7 - 1 +20.0 +17.9 +2.6
  Dec 16, 2015 40   @ Texas Tech L 67-79 22%     7 - 2 +1.8 -4.2 +6.8
  Dec 19, 2015 188   @ Florida Gulf Coast W 56-52 67%     8 - 2 +5.4 -16.4 +21.8
  Dec 22, 2015 146   @ Weber St. L 95-99 57%     8 - 3 -0.1 +12.5 -12.0
  Dec 27, 2015 130   Middle Tennessee W 65-61 63%     9 - 3 +6.4 -9.1 +15.2
  Jan 01, 2016 191   Denver W 68-59 84%     10 - 3 1 - 0 +4.2 +0.8 +4.6
  Jan 03, 2016 240   Western Illinois W 63-59 89%     11 - 3 2 - 0 -3.6 -9.1 +5.7
  Jan 07, 2016 213   @ IUPUI L 67-74 72%     11 - 4 2 - 1 -7.4 -5.5 -1.7
  Jan 14, 2016 132   Purdue Fort Wayne W 92-76 73%     12 - 4 3 - 1 +15.4 +15.5 -0.1
  Jan 16, 2016 158   @ North Dakota St. L 57-68 60%     12 - 5 3 - 2 -7.7 -8.8 +0.6
  Jan 21, 2016 183   @ Oral Roberts W 86-74 66%     13 - 5 4 - 2 +13.7 +13.5 +0.5
  Jan 23, 2016 226   @ South Dakota W 79-75 74%     14 - 5 5 - 2 +3.1 -1.5 +4.4
  Jan 28, 2016 147   Nebraska Omaha W 87-76 77%     15 - 5 6 - 2 +9.1 +3.7 +4.5
  Jan 30, 2016 191   @ Denver W 67-56 68%     16 - 5 7 - 2 +12.0 +1.9 +11.5
  Feb 06, 2016 213   IUPUI W 80-58 87%     17 - 5 8 - 2 +15.8 +7.1 +8.9
  Feb 10, 2016 147   @ Nebraska Omaha L 92-96 57%     17 - 6 8 - 3 -0.1 +9.1 -8.8
  Feb 13, 2016 226   South Dakota W 85-68 88%     18 - 6 9 - 3 +10.3 +4.0 +5.9
  Feb 18, 2016 132   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 79-91 52%     18 - 7 9 - 4 -6.8 +1.6 -7.8
  Feb 20, 2016 240   @ Western Illinois W 87-67 77%     19 - 7 10 - 4 +18.2 +5.9 +10.4
  Feb 25, 2016 158   North Dakota St. W 71-59 79%     20 - 7 11 - 4 +9.5 +6.7 +4.0
  Feb 27, 2016 183   Oral Roberts W 73-65 83%     21 - 7 12 - 4 +3.8 +6.7 -1.7
  Mar 05, 2016 183   Oral Roberts W 73-70 75%     22 - 7 +1.7 +2.6 -0.7
  Mar 07, 2016 191   Denver W 54-53 77%     23 - 7 -0.9 -13.5 +12.8
  Mar 08, 2016 158   North Dakota St. W 67-59 70%     24 - 7 +8.4 +8.3 +1.5
Projected Record 24.0 - 7.0 12.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 12.8 0.0 2.7 28.6 57.9 10.8 0.0
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12.8 0.0 2.7 28.6 57.9 10.8 0.0